The final of the Stanley Cup is finally here. For our biggest surprise the finalists are Pittsburgh Penguins and San Jose Sharks. Actually, we predicted that Pittsburgh Penguins are going to reach this stage but we did not believe that we are going to see San Jose Sharks here.
From this game, we are expecting a lot of drama and many comebacks. Pittsburgh Penguins are definitely the better team, but San Jose Sharks proved that they are one very dangerous team and they can be one very serious opponent which must not be underestimated. Approximately, month or two ago, we predicted that Pittsburgh Penguins are going to play on the finals and possibly win it. We are now sorry that we could not write a long term prediction about this outright market.
The chances for this playoff final are 50-50 now, although the bookmakers are giving little bit more chances to Pittsburgh Penguins. We said a couple of times, when it refers to the final, there are not a clear favourites and everything is relying on hard working, motivation and confidence. Also the home factor is a huge advantage here and this is our main reason of thinking that Penguins are going to take this first leg game.
Usually, here we were about to write the prediction Pittsburgh Penguins to win the game, but you saw that Tampa Bay Lightning are pretty dangerous and no matter they are playing at home or away they can win against anyone.The better result for us here will be not to be searching for the clear win or the win including overtime. It will be to search many goals, as we saw so far 5+ goals in their past 4 games. Usually as we wrote above, we were going to bet on Penguins here but on this odds there is no value on this market. The last home game which Pittsburgh Penguins won was after overtime. This makes us think that it is risky, very risky to search for the win in the regular time in 1.80 odds (after overtime the odds are 1.50 .. still not enough for us) so we went to a different market. As we mentioned 3 over 5.5 goals in the past 4 games is more than enough for us to go and chase after this market. The odds are pretty good and if there is an overtime they will definitely make the over 5 goals. Actually if we refer to the last game we think we can say we can see even more goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins won their last game against Tampa Bay Lightning and they completely turn the series into their favour, after they were losing with 1-0 in the beginning. Now the result is 2-1 for Penguins and they will have the unique chance to make the series 3-1 and then they will have a home game to close the series.
Of course, no one expects this playoff series to end with 4-1 for Pittsburgh Penguins, although they are the better and the most quality team from both. In the last leg Pittsburgh Penguins completely outclassed Tampa Bay Lightning by beating them with 2-4, but now it will be different. The players of Tampa Bay, will be completely motivated to take the win and tied the series, because they realize that it is going to be really hard to come back if they lose the game.
It is not right the bookmakers to make Pittsburgh Penguins such a big favourites for this game. Penguins are being staked at around 2.05 which is very low and there is no value in this bet. We will go for Tampa Bay Lightning because they are the team which has something to lose and they will try not to give another away win to Penguins.