May, 2016

May 30
Tip: Pittsburgh Penguins Overtime Included
Odd: 1.73
Tip details
Analysis

The final of the Stanley Cup is finally here. For our biggest surprise the finalists are Pittsburgh Penguins and San Jose Sharks. Actually, we predicted that Pittsburgh Penguins are going to reach this stage but we did not believe that we are going to see San Jose Sharks here.

From this game, we are expecting a lot of drama and many comebacks. Pittsburgh Penguins are definitely the better team, but San Jose Sharks proved that they are one very dangerous team and they can be one very serious opponent which must not be underestimated. Approximately, month or two ago, we predicted that Pittsburgh Penguins are going to play on the finals and possibly win it. We are now sorry that we could not write a long term prediction about this outright market.

The chances for this playoff final are 50-50 now, although the bookmakers are giving little bit more chances to Pittsburgh Penguins. We said a couple of times, when it refers to the final, there are not a clear favourites and everything is relying on hard working, motivation and confidence. Also the home factor is a huge advantage here and this is our main reason of thinking that Penguins are going to take this first leg game.

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May 28
Tip: Hershey Bears (+1AH)
Odd: 1.96
Tip details
Analysis
Tonight’s game is the last chance for Toronto Marlies to stay alive in the contest, as the result is currently 1-3 in favor of Hershey Bears. After a demolishing 2-8 on the road, the Bears can taste the finals of AHL playoffs, where they’ll meet Lake Erie Monsters. Despite facing their biggest test of the season down 0-3 in this series, there’s plenty of reason to believe that the Marlies can still find a way, as they’ll only need to look back at their first-round exit to Grand Rapids last year for a little inspiration. However, with the way that Hershey Bears are playing right now, we’ll back them up here to seal the deal and avoid game 5. So, even a draw will be good enough for our bet, as we’ll back them up with some extra handicap.

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May 27
Tip: Hershey Bears (+1AH)
Odd: 1.92
Tip details
Analysis
Tonight’s game is the last chance for Toronto Marlies to stay alive in the contest, as the result is currently 0-3 in favor of Hershey Bears. After a demolishing 2-8 on the road, the Bears can taste the finals of AHL playoffs, where they’ll meet Lake Erie Monsters. Despite facing their biggest test of the season down 0-3 in this series, there’s plenty of reason to believe that the Marlies can still find a way, as they’ll only need to look back at their first-round exit to Grand Rapids last year for a little inspiration. However, with the way that Hershey Bears are playing right now, we’ll back them up here to seal the deal and avoid game 5. So, even a draw will be good enough for our bet, as we’ll back them up with some extra handicap.

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May 26
Tip: Over 5 Goals
Odd: 1.74
Tip details
Analysis
Pittsburgh Penguins were surprisingly strong in game 6, when they overcome Tampa Bay with 5-2 on the road. Now the series is evened up on 3-3 and this is the decisive game of the semifinals. So far, the Penguins have put more shots on goal then the Lightning in every contest but the Lightnings have come up clutch to offset the Pens shot advantage. Tampa Bay have also overcome some challenges when number one Ben Bishop was hurt in the series opener with Andrei Vasilevsky coming in to a tough spot and keeping his team alive. What comes to our attention here, is that every clash between this two teams has been high scoring. In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the line of 5 goals have been covered in 9 occasions and we can’t imagine this final match going under this line.

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May 25
Tip: Over 5 Goals
Odd: 2.00
Tip details

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May 24
Tip: Pittsburgh Penguins Overtime Included
Odd: 1.71
Tip details
Analysis
It is going to be really interesting here as Tampa Bay Lightning steal the last game from Pittsburgh Penguins in the over time and now they are leading with 3-2 in the semi-finals here in the NHL. Now, Penguins will try to put the game into a 5th deciding game and they will give everything to achieve it but it will be really hard. Anyway, we think that the chances for this are very good and we are going to use it. In the last game we predicted that Tampa Bay Lightning can make the surprise and we decided to predict the over goals instead. It was very successful after we saw 7 goals. But now we think that we may not see many goals. It will be really hard to see many goals, because both teams will be playing carefully as they will try not to lose this game, especially Penguins. We expect also the team from Pittsburgh Penguins to be the team which will attack more and will try to dictates the tempo of the game. It is going to be a tough battle but just like the bookmakers we are giving better chances for the team from Pittsburgh.

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May 23
Tip: St.Louis Blues Overtime Included
Odd: 1.80
Tip details
Analysis
St.Louis Blues managed to tied the series to 2-2 and now they are going to take the home game with the real chance to take the lead. It will be hard but it is really possible. In the past game which we predicted pretty well, St.Louis Blues won with 3-6. This was very unexpected but we predicted that and actually it was very obvious because it was just impossible the great streak of San Jose Sharks to be continued for so long. Now we think that this win for St.Louis Blues will give them even more confidence and this will make them play much more with passion and aggression. They will definitely want to satisfy the fans with a home win, but it will be hard. There are no easy games when it comes to NHL Semi-Finals. Another good market here is going to be the over once more time, but in the past few days we were seeing one over, one under. It is risky for us. Moreover, the odds for St.Louis Blues are very high and we think that the bookmakers are underestimating them a lot. It is impossible actually to see 1.80 odds for home win including overtime. Moreover, when the same team won away with 6-3 with an ease. It is going to be interesting to see how both teams will be playing, but they will want to win a lot because the team which is taking this game will take the lead with 3-2 and will be really close to the final.

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May 22
Tip: Over 5 Goals
Odd: 1.80
Tip details
Analysis

Usually, here we were about to write the prediction Pittsburgh Penguins to win the game, but you saw that Tampa Bay Lightning are pretty dangerous and no matter they are playing at home or away they can win against anyone.

The better result for us here will be not to be searching for the  clear win or the win including overtime. It will be to search many goals, as we saw so far 5+ goals in their past 4 games. Usually as we wrote above, we were going to bet on Penguins here but on this odds there is no value on this market. The last home game which Pittsburgh Penguins won was after overtime. This makes us think that it is risky, very risky to search for the win in the regular time in 1.80 odds (after overtime the odds are 1.50 .. still not enough for us) so we went to a different market. As we mentioned 3 over 5.5 goals in the past 4 games is more than enough for us to go and chase after this market. The odds are pretty good and if there is an overtime they will definitely make the over 5 goals. Actually if we refer to the last game we think we can say we can see even more goals.

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May 21
Tip: St.Louis Blues
Odd: 2.40
Tip details
Analysis
San Jose Sharks did an amazing come back and now they have even took the lead in the series 2-1 against St.Louis Blues. It is really interesting how the favourites of St.Louis Blues lost 2 games in a row and now they are endangered of losing this playoff series. Now there is one more chance for St.Louis Blues to return the home game they have lost from San Jose Sharks but it will be really hard to do it when the team of San Jose are playing extremely hard. They won the last two games with great difference and it will be really tough game. St.Louis Blues are usually playing pretty well under pressure and we are 100% sure that they will not surrender here. They will try to dominate in this game so they can win it and tied the series to 2-2. From this game we think that St.Louis Blues are going to give their hearts in the arena, so they can save themselves of losing this semi-finals they must win this game. It will be very hard, very difficult. The game will be tough but just like in the last series St.Louis Blues under pressure are making incredible results. This game can go into the over time but even then we believe that St.Louis Blues has bigger chances to take it. They are the favourites and despite the great winning streak of San Jose Sharks at home they are capable of winning here.

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May 20
Tip: Tampa Bay Lightning Overtime Included
Odd: 2.35
Tip details
Analysis

Pittsburgh Penguins won their last game against Tampa Bay Lightning and they completely turn the series into their favour, after they were losing with 1-0 in the beginning. Now the result is 2-1 for Penguins and they will have the unique chance to make the series 3-1 and then they will have a home game to close the series.

Of course, no one expects this playoff series to end with 4-1 for Pittsburgh Penguins, although they are the better and the most quality team from both. In the last leg Pittsburgh Penguins completely outclassed Tampa Bay Lightning by beating them with 2-4, but now it will be different. The players of Tampa Bay, will be completely motivated to take the win and tied the series, because they realize that it is going to be really hard to come back if they lose the game.

It is not right the bookmakers to make Pittsburgh Penguins such a big favourites for this game. Penguins are being staked at around 2.05 which is very low and there is no value in this bet. We will go for Tampa Bay Lightning because they are the team which has something to lose and they will try not to give another away win to Penguins.

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